Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China

Hou Kai; Li Yabin; Qian Hui

doi:doi:10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

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Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China

Hou Kai, Li Yabin, Qian Hui

Published in Science Discovery (Volume 4, Issue 3)

Received: 1 July 2016 Published: 5 July 2016

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Abstract

In order to mitigate the adverse effects of drought, floods and other natural disasters on agriculture, and to provide a reliable climate foundation for agricultural structure adjustment, spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain needs further research and exploration. This paper based on rainfall data from 1964 to 2013 Shaanxi Huashan station (57046) weather station, using regression analysis and Mann-Kendall nonparametric test, systematically and comprehensively analyzed spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain for nearly 50 years. The results showed that: from 1964 to 2013, the mean annual precipitation in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province generally presented a declining trend, and declined significantly. The average monthly rainfall of Huashan area in summer and autumn was higher than the rainfall in spring and winter over the last 50 years. As to the rainy month changes, rainfall from March to April and September to October represented significantly declining in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province, but from January to February, May to August, and November to December rainfall decreased slowly. In spring and autumn, variation trend of rainfall was clear in downward trend; while in summer and winter, variation trend of rainfall is not obvious in downward trend as well.

Published in	Science Discovery (Volume 4, Issue 3)
DOI	10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
Page(s)	183-188
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2016. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Regression Analysis, Mann-Kendall Test, Precipitation, Trend Test, Variation

References

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APA Style

Hou Kai, Li Yabin, Qian Hui. (2016). Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China. Science Discovery, 4(3), 183-188. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

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ACS Style

Hou Kai; Li Yabin; Qian Hui. Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China. Sci. Discov. 2016, 4(3), 183-188. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

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AMA Style

Hou Kai, Li Yabin, Qian Hui. Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China. Sci Discov. 2016;4(3):183-188. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

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@article{10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15,
  author = {Hou Kai and Li Yabin and Qian Hui},
  title = {Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China},
  journal = {Science Discovery},
  volume = {4},
  number = {3},
  pages = {183-188},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sd.20160403.15},
  abstract = {In order to mitigate the adverse effects of drought, floods and other natural disasters on agriculture, and to provide a reliable climate foundation for agricultural structure adjustment, spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain needs further research and exploration. This paper based on rainfall data from 1964 to 2013 Shaanxi Huashan station (57046) weather station, using regression analysis and Mann-Kendall nonparametric test, systematically and comprehensively analyzed spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain for nearly 50 years. The results showed that: from 1964 to 2013, the mean annual precipitation in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province generally presented a declining trend, and declined significantly. The average monthly rainfall of Huashan area in summer and autumn was higher than the rainfall in spring and winter over the last 50 years. As to the rainy month changes, rainfall from March to April and September to October represented significantly declining in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province, but from January to February, May to August, and November to December rainfall decreased slowly. In spring and autumn, variation trend of rainfall was clear in downward trend; while in summer and winter, variation trend of rainfall is not obvious in downward trend as well.},
 year = {2016}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China
AU  - Hou Kai
AU  - Li Yabin
AU  - Qian Hui
Y1  - 2016/07/05
PY  - 2016
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
DO  - 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
T2  - Science Discovery
JF  - Science Discovery
JO  - Science Discovery
SP  - 183
EP  - 188
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2331-0650
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
AB  - In order to mitigate the adverse effects of drought, floods and other natural disasters on agriculture, and to provide a reliable climate foundation for agricultural structure adjustment, spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain needs further research and exploration. This paper based on rainfall data from 1964 to 2013 Shaanxi Huashan station (57046) weather station, using regression analysis and Mann-Kendall nonparametric test, systematically and comprehensively analyzed spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain for nearly 50 years. The results showed that: from 1964 to 2013, the mean annual precipitation in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province generally presented a declining trend, and declined significantly. The average monthly rainfall of Huashan area in summer and autumn was higher than the rainfall in spring and winter over the last 50 years. As to the rainy month changes, rainfall from March to April and September to October represented significantly declining in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province, but from January to February, May to August, and November to December rainfall decreased slowly. In spring and autumn, variation trend of rainfall was clear in downward trend; while in summer and winter, variation trend of rainfall is not obvious in downward trend as well.
VL  - 4
IS  - 3
ER  -

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Author Information

Hou Kai

Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University College, Shanxi Xi'an, China
Li Yabin

Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University College, Shanxi Xi'an, China
Qian Hui

Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University College, Shanxi Xi'an, China

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Plain Text BibTeX RIS

APA Style

Hou Kai, Li Yabin, Qian Hui. (2016). Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China. Science Discovery, 4(3), 183-188. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

Copy | Download

ACS Style

Hou Kai; Li Yabin; Qian Hui. Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China. Sci. Discov. 2016, 4(3), 183-188. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

Copy | Download

AMA Style

Hou Kai, Li Yabin, Qian Hui. Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China. Sci Discov. 2016;4(3):183-188. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

Copy | Download

@article{10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15,
  author = {Hou Kai and Li Yabin and Qian Hui},
  title = {Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China},
  journal = {Science Discovery},
  volume = {4},
  number = {3},
  pages = {183-188},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sd.20160403.15},
  abstract = {In order to mitigate the adverse effects of drought, floods and other natural disasters on agriculture, and to provide a reliable climate foundation for agricultural structure adjustment, spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain needs further research and exploration. This paper based on rainfall data from 1964 to 2013 Shaanxi Huashan station (57046) weather station, using regression analysis and Mann-Kendall nonparametric test, systematically and comprehensively analyzed spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain for nearly 50 years. The results showed that: from 1964 to 2013, the mean annual precipitation in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province generally presented a declining trend, and declined significantly. The average monthly rainfall of Huashan area in summer and autumn was higher than the rainfall in spring and winter over the last 50 years. As to the rainy month changes, rainfall from March to April and September to October represented significantly declining in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province, but from January to February, May to August, and November to December rainfall decreased slowly. In spring and autumn, variation trend of rainfall was clear in downward trend; while in summer and winter, variation trend of rainfall is not obvious in downward trend as well.},
 year = {2016}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China
AU  - Hou Kai
AU  - Li Yabin
AU  - Qian Hui
Y1  - 2016/07/05
PY  - 2016
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
DO  - 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
T2  - Science Discovery
JF  - Science Discovery
JO  - Science Discovery
SP  - 183
EP  - 188
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2331-0650
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
AB  - In order to mitigate the adverse effects of drought, floods and other natural disasters on agriculture, and to provide a reliable climate foundation for agricultural structure adjustment, spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain needs further research and exploration. This paper based on rainfall data from 1964 to 2013 Shaanxi Huashan station (57046) weather station, using regression analysis and Mann-Kendall nonparametric test, systematically and comprehensively analyzed spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain for nearly 50 years. The results showed that: from 1964 to 2013, the mean annual precipitation in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province generally presented a declining trend, and declined significantly. The average monthly rainfall of Huashan area in summer and autumn was higher than the rainfall in spring and winter over the last 50 years. As to the rainy month changes, rainfall from March to April and September to October represented significantly declining in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province, but from January to February, May to August, and November to December rainfall decreased slowly. In spring and autumn, variation trend of rainfall was clear in downward trend; while in summer and winter, variation trend of rainfall is not obvious in downward trend as well.
VL  - 4
IS  - 3
ER  -

Copy | Download